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Investing Amid Low Expected Returns: Making the Most When Markets Offer the Least Hardcover β April 12 2022
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Elevate your game in the face of challenging market conditions with this eye-opening guide to portfolio management
Investing Amid Low Expected Returns: Making the Most When Markets Offer the Least provides an evidence-based blueprint for successful investing when decades of market tailwinds are turning into headwinds.Β
For a generation, falling yields and soaring asset prices have boosted realized returns. Β However, this past windfall leaves retirement savers and investors now facing the prospect of record-low future expected returns. Emphasizing this pressing challenge, the book highlights the role that timeless investment practices β discipline, humility, and patience β will play in enabling investment success. It then assesses current investor practices and the body of empirical evidence to illuminate the building blocks for improving long-run returns in todayβs environment and beyond. It concludes by reviewing how to put them together through effective portfolio construction, risk management, and cost control practices.
In this book, readers will also find:
- The common investor responses so far to the low expected return challenge
- Extensive empirical evidence on the critical ingredients of an effective portfolio: major asset class premia, illiquidity premia, style premia, and alpha
- Discussions of the pros and cons of illiquid investments, factor investing, ESG investing, risk mitigation strategies, and market timing
- Coverage of the whole top-down investment process β throughout the book endorsing humility in tactical forecasting and boldness in diversification
Ideal for institutional and active individual investors, Investing Amid Low Expected Returns is a timeless resource that enables investing with serenity even in harsher financial conditions.
- ISBN-101119860199
- ISBN-13978-1119860198
- Edition1st
- PublisherWiley
- Publication dateApril 12 2022
- LanguageEnglish
- Dimensions18.54 x 3.81 x 26.16 cm
- Print length304 pages
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Product description
From the Inside Flap
In Investing Amid Low Expected Returns: Making the Most When Markets Offer the Least, renowned institutional investor advisor Dr. Antti Ilmanen delivers a timelessβand timelyβtreatment of strategic investment processes in times of low returns.
The author outlines the low expected return challenge now facing investors due to the past four-decade stretch that has seen markets with ever-increasing valuations and realized returns with falling yields. Assuming high realized returns will persist, especially in an era of low starting yields, is therefore complacent.
The key building blocks to improving long-run returnsβincluding major asset class premia, illiquidity premia, style premia, and the always elusive alphaβare discussed as well, with extensive empirical evidence used to bolster the bookβs exploration of the most reliable sources of investment returns.
Readers will learn how to construct an efficient portfolio from these building blocks as well as how to manage risk and control costs, informed by detailed descriptions of competing investment models and best practices amongst large institutional asset owners.
Perennial investing topics are explored at length, with fulsome discussions of the pros and cons of liquid vs. illiquid investments, active vs. passive management, as well as the merits of factor investing, ESG investing, macro-resilient portfolios, and tail hedging. Humble forecasting and bold diversification are emphasized throughout the book, as is the need for a combination of good investments with a patient approach.
With a foreword by Cliff Asness, managing and founding principal at AQR Capital Management, Investing Amid Low Expected Returns is a canβt-miss resource for institutional investors and active individual investors seeking an authoritative and eye-opening treatment of intelligent investing principles in the context of diminishing returns.
From the Back Cover
PRAISE FOR Investing Amid Low Expected Returns
βCall it secular stagnation, low neutral rates or hyper liquidity, we are in a very different interest rate era than most of us grew up in. Few, if any, financial questions are more important than what it all means for investment strategy. This important book is the best take that has yet appeared.β
β LAWRENCE H. SUMMERS, Charles W. Eliot University Professor and President Emeritus at Harvard University, Former Secretary of the Treasury and Director of the National Economic Council
βDonβt let the title sway you, this book is foundational investing in every return environment. It is filled with solid investment wisdom that will help all investors build a resilient portfolio and stay the course. The core tenets of investment beliefs, portfolio construction, managing risks, and minimizing costs have withstood the test of time. This is a book for all markets and all investors.β
βCHRISTOPHER AILMAN, Chief Investment Officer, CalSTRS
βAntti has earned the right to be called one of investingβs great practical empiricists. If a research paper has value, he has found it and incorporated it into his comprehensive, well-structured toolkit. He clearly states what is known well and where humility is required. Investment practitioners everywhere need this book.β
βJASE AUBY, Chief Investment Officer, Teacher Retirement System of Texas
βTimeless advice for uncertain times. A rare combination of being both erudite and accessible.β
β EDWIN CASS, Chief Investment Officer, Total Fund Management, Canada Pension Plan Investment Board
βAntti has written an important book addressing the most critical challenge to investing for retirement β low prospective returns for the key asset classes. Reviewing extensive histories with humility and experienced judgment, Antti comes up with a balanced and yet optimistic outlook. Reasonable return streams remain for investors to diversify into; however, patience and good risk control will be required. This book is an encouraging read for investors!β
β JEFFREY PICHET JAENSUBHAKIJ, Group CIO, GIC
βI often describe Anttiβs previous book, Expected Returns, as the encyclopedia of empirical research of investment management.Β More than a decade later, Antti has once again written the quintessential guide to navigating the challenging low-return and high-volatility market environment that may lie ahead.Β He shares his deep understanding and insights into the various components driving returns and provides a clear framework to guide investors in constructing a portfolio to weather the storm.β
β YU (BEN) MENG, Chair of Asia-Pacific of Franklin Templeton and former CIO of CalPERS
βAntti provides a vital update to the canonical toolkit he presented inΒ Expected Returns.Β The new book has even broader coverage, yet is more succinct. Investors who read this book will leave with a straightforward risk-return framework, a well-considered set of investment beliefs, a list of bad habits to avoid, and empirically good practices to follow. This book is the foundation of solid portfolio management for institutional and retail investors.β
β LARRY SWEDROE, Chief Research Officer, Buckingham Wealth Partners
About the Author
ANTTI ILMANEN, PHD, is Principal and Global Co-head of the Portfolio Solutions Group at AQR Capital Management. He advises institutional investors and develops AQRβs high-level investment ideas. He is the author of Expected Returns and a recipient of the Graham and Dodd award, the Harry M. Markowitz Special Distinction Award, and multiple Bernstein Fabozzi/Jacobs Levy awards.
Product details
- Publisher : Wiley; 1st edition (April 12 2022)
- Language : English
- Hardcover : 304 pages
- ISBN-10 : 1119860199
- ISBN-13 : 978-1119860198
- Item weight : 748 g
- Dimensions : 18.54 x 3.81 x 26.16 cm
- Best Sellers Rank: #68,874 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)
- #51 in Investment Portfolio Management
- #280 in Accounting Industries & Professions
- #293 in Accounting (Books)
- Customer Reviews:
About the author

Antti Ilmanen is a Principal at AQR Capital Management and the author of "Expected Returns" (Wiley, 2011) as well as its monograph, "Expected Returns on Major Asset Classes." Anttiβs second book "Investing Amid Low Expected Returns" will be available in Spring 2022.
A renowned expert on financial investments, Antti has three decades of experience in the investment industry, where he has skillfully served as a bridge between practitioners and financial academic research. At AQR, Antti co-heads the Portfolio Solutions Group, the team responsible for advising institutional investors and developing the firm's broad investment ideas. Prior to joining AQR in 2011, Antti spent seven years as a senior portfolio manager at Brevan Howard and a decade in a variety of roles at Salomon Brothers/Citigroup. He began his career as a central bank portfolio manager in Finland. Over the years, he has advised many institutional investors, including Norwayβs Government Pension Fund Global and the Government of Singapore Investment Corporation. Antti has published extensively in finance and investment journals and has received a Graham and Dodd award, the Harry M. Markowitz special distinction award, and multiple Bernstein Fabozzi/Jacobs Levy awards for his articles. He also received the CFA Institute's 2017 Leadership in Global Investment Award.
Antti earned M.Sc. degrees in economics and law from the University of Helsinki and a Ph.D. in finance from the University of Chicago.
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Highly recommend for anyone serious about long-term "evidence-based" investing. If you can, I would read "Expected Returns" first, but it's not required.