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  • Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All...
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Customer reviews

4.3 out of 5 stars
4.3 out of 5
2,079 global ratings
5 star
58%
4 star
24%
3 star
12%
2 star
4%
1 star
2%
Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts

Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts

byAnnie Duke
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Amazon Customer
5.0 out of 5 starsa brilliantly contrarian thinker
Reviewed in Canada on May 23, 2019
Leave it to a multi-millionaire poker champ and trained psychologist to explain that decisions involving uncertainty and imperfect knowledge need to be judged by their process and not their outcomes. Just because you lose a hand that statistically wins 75% of the time does NOT mean you played it poorly. Yet, we humans make the mistake of judging decisions based on the outcomes instead of process. This excellent book explains the many ways this is wrong and how we should instead view risk in our daily lives.
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3 people found this helpful

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Dave the Rave
3.0 out of 5 starsOne point book
Reviewed in Canada on May 11, 2019
This is what one of my undergraduate teachers called a one point book. It makes the same point over an over interspersed with the occasional cautionary tale from the poker table. Perhaps the most useful advice is to avoid evaluating outcomes by "resulting". You will have to read at least some if this book to see how the author describes the term.
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7 people found this helpful

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From Canada

Dave the Rave
3.0 out of 5 stars One point book
Reviewed in Canada on May 11, 2019
Verified Purchase
This is what one of my undergraduate teachers called a one point book. It makes the same point over an over interspersed with the occasional cautionary tale from the poker table. Perhaps the most useful advice is to avoid evaluating outcomes by "resulting". You will have to read at least some if this book to see how the author describes the term.
7 people found this helpful
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Amazon Customer
5.0 out of 5 stars a brilliantly contrarian thinker
Reviewed in Canada on May 23, 2019
Verified Purchase
Leave it to a multi-millionaire poker champ and trained psychologist to explain that decisions involving uncertainty and imperfect knowledge need to be judged by their process and not their outcomes. Just because you lose a hand that statistically wins 75% of the time does NOT mean you played it poorly. Yet, we humans make the mistake of judging decisions based on the outcomes instead of process. This excellent book explains the many ways this is wrong and how we should instead view risk in our daily lives.
3 people found this helpful
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Ian From Barrie
5.0 out of 5 stars Non technical, and the anecdotes help press home the point
Reviewed in Canada on June 26, 2019
Verified Purchase
The combination of a research background plus big-bucks experience as a poker player makes the author an authority worth reading. This is an valuable bookend to the book "Fooled by Randomness", and presses home the point that when we live in a world with shades of grey, the notion of "right" and "wrong" isn't very useful when applied to real-world decision-making. At least, I'm about 90% certain of that <grin>
One person found this helpful
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Kevin Roy
3.0 out of 5 stars Great topic but not a great book
Reviewed in Canada on April 27, 2019
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The topic is very useful but the book feels like an article stretched into a book. Examples are limited and there is plenty of filler and repetition. It could have been done in a quarter of the pages.
7 people found this helpful
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dariohead
2.0 out of 5 stars Tell me something I don't know
Reviewed in Canada on September 15, 2020
Verified Purchase
The book points to a number of valuable points, but the problem is that they are not new - they are re elaboration off important work within behavioral economics and decision making science - ; poker is pulled into the equation and rightly so, but adds no value or meaning to what it's been already known in the literature of decision making.
I'm now reading The Big Bluff (M. Konnikova) who takes on a similar challenge.
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Knox
2.0 out of 5 stars A one pager made into a book
Reviewed in Canada on March 12, 2021
Verified Purchase
The central point of the book is worth writing about, but after the first 30 pages became increasingly repetitive and mind numbing. Finished it begrudgingly.
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Munawar Ali
3.0 out of 5 stars Three Stars
Reviewed in Canada on May 5, 2018
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Simplistic with some interesting points. I wouldn’t buy it.
5 people found this helpful
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Amazon User
2.0 out of 5 stars Blank pages!
Reviewed in Canada on January 8, 2020
Verified Purchase
There are 6 blank pages from near the middle of this book. Never seen this before.

Printer dropped the ball on this one.
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Amazon User
2.0 out of 5 stars Blank pages!
Reviewed in Canada on January 8, 2020
There are 6 blank pages from near the middle of this book. Never seen this before.

Printer dropped the ball on this one.
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One person found this helpful
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Darianne
2.0 out of 5 stars After reading this, you wont 'make better decisions'
Reviewed in Canada on August 28, 2020
Verified Purchase
this was really a boring copy written peace full of non information
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Norm T
4.0 out of 5 stars The focus is more on % chances of a right decision verses the decision being right or wrong.
Reviewed in Canada on April 13, 2022
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The author is a good writer, the book is an interesting read with good take aways.
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